TY - RPRT AU - Fernandez-Perez, Adrian AU - Fernández-Rodríguez, Fernando AU - Sosvilla Rivero, Simón Javier PY - 2013 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/41484 AB - We present a model to forecast the probability of bear markets in the Spanish IBEX 35 with a congruent and concise parameterization which selects the explanatory factors from a wide set of variables like the yield curve of Spain, US and Europe, as... LA - eng KW - Term structure of interest rates KW - Stock returns KW - Trading strategies. TI - The term structure of interest rates as predictor of stock returns: Evidence for the IBEX 35 during a bear market TY - technical report VL - 2013 ER -