TY - GEN AU - Guinea Voinea, Laurentiu PY - 2025 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/118843 AB - This paper decomposes sovereign risk uncertainty in U.S. credit default swap (CDS) spreads into short-run and long-run components. We employ a Bayesian dynamic factor model within a state-space framework to link observed CDS spreads and... LA - eng KW - Sovereign Risk Uncertainty, KW - Short-Run vs. Long-Run Macroeconomic Shocks KW - Bayesian Estimation KW - Kalman Filter KW - State-Space Models. TI - Short- and Long-Run Sovereign Risk Uncertainty in U.S. Credit Default Swaps TY - working paper ER -