RT Journal Article T1 Climate Change Effects on Plague and Tularemia in the United States A1 Nakazawa, Yoshinori A1 Peterson, Townsend A1 Williams, Richard Alexander John A1 Mead, Paul A1 Staples, Erin A1 Gage, Kenneth AB Plague and tularemia are serious zoonotic diseases endemic to North America. We evaluated spatial patterns in their transmission in view of changing climates. First, we tested whether observed shifts since the 1960s are consistent with expected patterns of shift given known climate changes over that period. Then, we used general circulation model results summarizing global patterns of changing climates into the future to forecast likely shifts in patterns of transmission over the next 50 years. The results indicate that these diseases are indeed shifting inaccord with patterns of climatic shift, but that overall geographic shifts will likely be subtle, with some northward movement of southern limits and possibly northward movement of northern limits as well. PB Mary Ann Liebert Inc. Publishers SN 1530-3667 YR 2007 FD 2007 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/100212 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/100212 LA eng NO Nakazawa Y, Williams R, Peterson AT, Mead P, Staples E, Gage KL. Climate change effects on plague and tularemia in the United States. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases. 2007 Dec 1;7(4):529-40. DS Docta Complutense RD 18 abr 2025