RT Journal Article
T1 Modeling of air pollution and its relationship with mortality and morbidity in Madrid, Spain
A1 Díaz, J.
A1 García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco
A1 Ribera, P.
A1 Alberdi, J.C.
A1 Hernández, Emiliano
A1 Pajares, M.S.
A1 Otero, A.
AB Objective: Evaluation of the association between air pollution and mortality and morbidity is becoming ever more complex owing to changes in innercity air pollution, marked by decreasing values for all main pollutants save those associated with traffic. This has led to the need for the study of new epidemiological scenarios in which most pollutants are below guideline values. Nonetheless, the health effects are significant. Methods: This report presents the results of a statistically based model for real-time forecasting of mortality and morbidity in Madrid, with meteorological and pollution series serving as inputs. Results and conclusions: Not only did the models perform well with correlation coefficients between predicted and observed values (r = 0.683 for mortality, r = 0.681 for morbidity), but they enabled quantification of the impact of air pollution on mortality and morbidity (with increases ranging from 1.8% to 12% for mortality and from 2.3% to 18% for morbidity for a 25- µg/m^(3) increase in pollutants). Moreover, attention should be drawn to the observation that the model proved to be easy to implement and operate on a routine basis.
PB Springer-Verlag Berlin
SN 0340-0131
YR 1999
FD 1999-09
LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/57994
UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/57994
LA eng
NO © Springer-Verlag 1999. This study was supported by a grant from the Madrid Regional Authority Board of Education and Culture as part of the 078 Health Sciences Coordinated Action Program.
NO Madrid Regional Authority Board of Education and Culture
DS Docta Complutense
RD 30 dic 2025