TY - JOUR AU - Capistrán Ocampo, Marcos Aurelio AU - Infante Del Río, Juan Antonio AU - Ramos Del Olmo, Ángel Manuel AU - Rey Cabezas, José María PY - 2023 DO - 10.1016/j.apm.2023.05.027 SN - 0307-904X UR - https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/102292 T2 - Applied Mathematical Modelling AB - In this work, we manage to disentangle the role of virus infectiousness and awarenessbased human behavior in the COVID-19 pandemic. Using Bayesian inference, we quantify the uncertainty of a state-space model whose propagator is based on an unusual... LA - eng M2 - 187 PB - Elsevier KW - Data assimilation KW - Forecasting KW - Epidemics TI - Disentangling the role of virus infectiousness and awareness-based human behavior during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the European Union TY - journal article VL - 122 ER -