TY  - RPRT
AU  - Chang, Chia-Lin
AU  - Franses, Philip Hans
AU  - McAleer, Michael
PY  - 2011
UR  - https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/48971
AB  - Many macro-economic forecasts and forecast updates, such as those from the IMF and OECD, typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non-replicable....
LA  - eng
A3  - Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. Universidad Complutense de Madrid
KW  - Macro-economic forecasts
KW  - Econometric models
KW  - Intuition
KW  - learning
KW  - Progressive forecast updates
KW  - Forecast errors
TI  - Are Forecast Updates Progressive?
TY  - technical report
VL  - 2011
ER  -