RT Journal Article T1 Climate change as a driver of insect invasions: Dispersal patterns of a dragonfly species colonizing a new region A1 Gil Tapetado, Diego A1 López Collar, Diego A1 Gómez Sánchez, José Francisco A1 Mañani-Perez, José A1 Cabrero Sañudo, Francisco José A1 Muñoz, Jesús AB The dragonfly Trithemis kirbyi Sélys, 1891 recently colonized Western Europe from North Africa. Since its first record in the Iberian Peninsula in 2007, the species has been spreading northward and has become naturally established in the central and eastern Iberian Peninsula, the Balearic Islands and southern France. Despite its worldwide distribution, its rapid colonization of the western Mediterranean area occurred only very recently. The aims of this study were to evaluate (1) whether the species’ colonization of the western Mediterranean is related to climate change and rising temperatures, specifically the summer warming peaks that have occurred in the last decade, (2) which climatic variables have most influenced its distribution and dispersal, and (3) its potential future dispersal and colonization capacity towards the eastern Mediterranean. We found that the dispersal and recent establishment of T. kirbyi in southwestern Europe strongly depends on increasing temperatures, particularly summer temperature peaks, which has allowed this species to disperse farther and more effectively than during years with average summer temperatures. The most important variable in the suitability models is the minimum temperature of the coldest month, which, in recent decades, has become less of a limiting factor for ectotherms. According to the models, suitable areas for the species are currently found throughout the eastern Mediterranean parts of Europe, and it is likely that it can naturally colonize these areas as it did in the Iberian Peninsula. Trithemis kirbyi is a model of how climate change and observed rising temperatures have turned previously inhospitable regions into suitable areas for exotic species, which may successfully colonize them naturally if they can reach these promising lands on their own. However, this study serves as a warning that such species can also colonize these new regions with a little help from unsuspecting means, which are often responsible for the increasingly common presence of invasive, noxious taxa in Europe. PB Public Library of Science SN 1932-6203 YR 2023 FD 2023 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/101076 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/101076 LA eng NO Gil-Tapetado D, Lo´pez-Collar D, Go´mez JF, Mañani-Pe´rez J, Cabrero-Sañudo FJ, Muñoz J (2023) Climate change as a driver of insect invasions: Dispersal patterns of a dragonfly species colonizing a new region. PLoS ONE 18(9): e0291270. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal. pone.0291270 NO Dr. Diego Gil-Tapetado was supported by a Margarita Salas CT18/22 UCM contract, financed by Universidad Complutense de Madrid with Next Generation funds from the European Union. NO Universidad Complutense de Madrid NO European Commission DS Docta Complutense RD 12 sept 2024