RT Journal Article T1 Systematic review and modelling of Toxoplasma gondii seroprevalence in humans, Europe, 2000 to 2021 A1 Friesema, Ingrid HM A1 Waap, Helga A1 Swart, Arno A1 Györke, Adriana A1 Le Roux, Delphine A1 Evangelista, Francisco MD A1 Spano, Furio A1 Schares, Gereon A1 Deksne, Gunita A1 Gargaté, Maria João A1 Calero Bernal, Rafael A1 Jokelainen, Pikka A1 Seeber, Frank A1 Sroka, Jacek A1 Lundén, Anna A1 van den Berg, Oda A1 Jore, Solveig A1 Wisselink, Henk J A1 Dámek, Filip A1 Vestergaard, Lasse S A1 Opsteegh, Marieke AB BACKGROUNDToxoplasma gondii is a zoonotic protozoan capable of infecting warm-blooded animal species and humans. Although toxoplasmosis presents mostly as mild or asymptomatic infection in immunocompetent individuals, in unborn children and people with weakened immune systems, the disease can be severe with ocular, neurological or multi-systemic manifestations and even death.AIMWe aimed to collate and analyse data on T. gondii seroprevalence in humans to model and compare age-dependent prevalence in geographic regions in Europe.METHODSA systematic review identified 1,822 scientific publications, from which seroprevalence data were extracted from 69 studies. Data were analysed using a Bayesian hierarchical model.RESULTSThe modelling of the seroprevalence indicated the highest incidence rates in eastern (50%) and western (48%) Europe, with the lowest estimates in northern Europe (18%) and the United Kingdom (UK) (18%). Eastern and western Europe were regions where T. gondii infections occurred earliest in life, with half of the population expected to be seropositive by the age of 44 and 47 years, respectively. In contrast, in northern Europe and the UK the modelled median time to infection exceeded 170 years.CONCLUSIONResults of the study provide a robust baseline for future epidemiological research on human T. gondii infections in Europe and may be useful to validate subsequent research, such as risk assessment studies PB European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control SN 1560-7917 YR 2025 FD 2025 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/124802 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/124802 LA eng NO Friesema, I. H., Waap, H., Swart, A., Györke, A., Le Roux, D., Evangelista, F. M., Spano, F., Schares, G., Deksne, G., Gargaté, M. J., Calero-Bernal, R., Jokelainen, P., Seeber, F., Sroka, J., Lundén, A., van den Berg, O., Jore, S., Wisselink, H. J., Dámek, F., Vestergaard, L. S., … Opsteegh, M. (2025). Systematic review and modelling of Toxoplasma gondii seroprevalence in humans, Europe, 2000 to 2021. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 30(34), 2500069. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2025.30.34.2500069 NO Authors’ contributions: Ingrid HM Friesema: Conceptualisation, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Helga Waap: Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Arno Swart: Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. Adriana Györke: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Delphine Le Roux: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Francisco Evangelista: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Furio Spano: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Gereon Schares: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Gunita Deksne: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Maria João Gargaté: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Rafael Calero-Bernal: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Pikka Jokelainen: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. Frank Seeber: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Jacek Sroka: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Anna Lundén: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Oda van den Berg: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Solveig Jore: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Henk J Wisselink: Data curation, Formal analysisMethodology, Writing – review & editing. Filip Dámek: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Lasse S Vestergaard: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Writing – review & editing. Marieke Opsteegh: Conceptualisation, Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Validation, Supervision, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing DS Docta Complutense RD 24 ene 2026