RT Journal Article T1 Contrasting catastrophic eruptions predicted by different intrusion and collapse scenarios A1 Rincón, Marta A1 Márquez González, Álvaro A1 Herrera, Raquel A1 Alonso Torres, A. A1 Granja Bruña, José Luis A1 Wyk de Vries, Benjamin van AB Catastrophic volcanic eruptions triggered by landslide collapses can jet upwards or blast sideways. Magma intrusion is related to both landslide-triggered eruptive scenarios (lateral or vertical), but it is not clear how such different responses are produced, nor if any precursor can be used for forecasting them. We approach this problem with physical analogue modelling enhanced with X-ray Multiple Detector Computed Tomography scanning, used to track evolution of internal intrusion, and its related faulting and surface deformation. We find that intrusions produce three different volcano deformation patterns, one of them involving asymmetric intrusion and deformation, with the early development of a listric slump fault producing pronounced slippage of one sector. This previously undescribed early deep potential slip surface provides a unified explanation for the two different eruptive scenarios (lateral vs. vertical). Lateral blast only occurs in flank collapse when the intrusion has risen into the sliding block. Otherwise, vertical rather than lateral expansion of magma is promoted by summit dilatation and flank buttressing. The distinctive surface deformation evolution detected opens the possibility to forecast the possible eruptive scenarios: laterally directed blast should only be expected when surface deformation begins to develop oblique to the first major fault. PB Nature Publishing Group SN 2045-2322, online ISSN: 2045-2322 YR 2018 FD 2018-04-18 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/12133 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/12133 LA eng NO Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (MINECO) NO Universidad Complutense de Madrid NO URJC DS Docta Complutense RD 8 ago 2024