RT Report T1 From general State-Space to VARMAX models A1 Casals Carro, José A1 García Hiernaux, Alfredo A1 Jerez Méndez, Miguel AB Fixed coecients State-Space and VARMAX models are equivalent, meaning that they are able to represent the same linear dynamics, being indistinguishable in terms of overall fit. However, each representation can be specically adequate for certain uses, so it is relevant to be able to choosebetween them. To this end, we propose two algorithms to go from general State-Space models to VARMAX forms. The rst one computes the coecients of a standard VARMAX model under some assumptions while the second, which is more general, returns the coecients of a VARMAX echelon. These procedures supplement the results already available in the literature allowing one to obtain the State-Space model matrices corresponding to any VARMAX. The paper also discusses some applications of these procedures by solving several theoretical and practical problems. PB Facultad de CC Económicas y Empresariales. Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico YR 2010 FD 2010-10 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/48942 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/48942 LA eng NO Aoki, M. (1990). State Space Modelling of Time Series. Springer Verlag, New York.Bujosa, M., García-Ferrer, A., and Young, P. C. (2007). Linear dynamic harmonic regression. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 52(2):999-1024.Casals, J., Jerez, M., and Sotoca, S. (2002). An exact multivariate modelbased structural decomposition. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 97(458):553-564.Casals, J., Sotoca, S., and Jerez, M. (1999). A fast and stable method to compute the likelihood of time invariant state space models. Economics Letters, 65(3):329-337.Dickinson, B., Morf, M., and Kailath, T. (1974). Canonical matrix fraction and state space descriptions for deterministic and stochastic linear systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-19:656-667.Hannan, E. J. and Deistler, M. (1988). The Statistical Theory of Linear Systems.John Wiley, New York.Harvey, A. and Trimbur, T. (2008). Trend estimation and the hodrick-prescottlter. Journal of the Japan Statistical Society, 38:41-49.Harvey, A. C. (1989). Forecasting, structural time series models and the KalmanFilter. Cambridge University Press.Hillmer, S. and Tiao, G. (1982). An arima-model-based approach to seasonaladjustment. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77:63-70.Luenberger, D. G. (1967). Canonical forms for linear multivariate systems. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, AC-12:290-293.Lutkepohl, H. and Poskitt, D. S. (1996). Specication of echelon form VARMA models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 14(1):69-79.Melard, G., Roy, R., and Saidi, A. (2006). Exact maximum likelihood estimation of structured or unit root multivariate time series models. Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 50,11:2958-2986.Nerlove, M., Grether, D. M., and Carvalho, J. L. (1995). Analysis of Economic Time Series: A Synthesis. Academic Press, New York.Quenouille, M. H. (1957). The Analysis of Multiple Time Series. Grin, London.Rosenbrock, H. H. (1970). State Space and Multivariable Theory. John Wiley, New York.Tong, H. (1990). Nonlinear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press, Oxford. DS Docta Complutense RD 27 jul 2024