RT Journal Article T1 Adversarial risk analysis: An overview A1 Banks, David A1 Gallego, Víctor A1 Naveiro, Roi A1 Rios Insua, David AB Adversarial risk analysis (ARA) is a relatively new area of research that informs decision-making when facing intelligent opponents and uncertain outcomes. It is a decision-theoretic alternative to game theory. ARA enables an analyst to express her Bayesian beliefs about an opponent's utilities, capabilities, probabilities, and the type of strategic calculations that the opponent is using to make his decision. Within that framework, the analyst then solves the problem from the perspective of the opponent. This calculation produces a distribution over the actions of the opponent that permits the analyst to maximize her expected utility. This review covers conceptual, modeling, computational, and applied issues in ARA as well as interesting open research issues. PB Wiley SN 1939-5108 YR 2020 FD 2020-09-14 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/7687 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/7687 LA eng NO "This is the pre-peer reviewed version of the following article: Banks D, Gallego V, Naveiro R, Ríos Insua D. Adversarial risk analysis: An overview. WIREs Comput Stat. 2020;e1530. https://doi.org/10.1002/wics.153016, which has been published in final form at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/wics.1530. This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Use of Self-Archived Versions." NO Unión Europea. Horizonte 2020 NO Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (MICINN)/FEDER NO Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (MICCIN) NO National Science Foundation DS Docta Complutense RD 13 abr 2025