TY - RPRT AU - Garcia-Jorcano, Laura PY - 2019 SN - 2341-2356 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/17513 AB - We provide evidence suggesting that the assumption on the probability distribution for return in- novations is more influential for Value at Risk (VaR) performance than the conditional volatility specification. We also show that some recently proposed... LA - eng A3 - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales. Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE) KW - Value-at-risk KW - Backtesting KW - Evaluating forecasts KW - Precedence KW - APARCH model KW - Asym- metric distributions. TI - Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting TY - technical report VL - 2019 ER -