RT Report T1 Evidencia empírica de endogeneidad monetaria en España (1980-2012) T2 Endogenous money. A empirical analysis from Spain (1980-2012) A1 Cárdenas Del Rey, Luis AB En este trabajo se contrasta la hipótesis de endogeneidad monetaria en la economía española durante el período 1980-2012 desde un enfoque kaleckiano. Se aporta evidencia de las fluctuaciones y oscilaciones cíclicas de los agregados monetarios y el volumen de crédito bancario, junto con las relaciones de cointegración y de causalidad existentes entre las variables. Además, como los resultados de la tasa de variación no son concluyentes se desarrolla un modelo de Vectores Autorregresivos (VAR) con objeto de estimar el comportamiento de las variables M3 y créditos durante el período 1998-2012. Por lo tanto, esta investigación supone una renovación de las estimaciones realizadas hasta la fecha para la economía española. AB This paper deals with the monetary endogeneity hypothesis in the Spanish economy during the period 1980-2012 from a Kaleckian approach. Evidence of fluctuations and cyclical fluctuations of monetary aggregates and the volume of bank credit is provided, along with cointegration and causality between variables. Furthermore, as the results of the rate of change is inconclusive Vector Autoregressive model (VAR) in order to estimate the behavior of the variables M3 and credits during the period 1998 to 2012 is developed. Therefore, this research is a renewal of the estimates to date for the Spanish economy. SN 2255-5471 SN 2255-5471 YR 2013 FD 2013-12 LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/41539 UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/41539 LA spa NO Camarero, M.; Esteve, V. y Tamarit, C.R. (1993), “Activos de caja y endogeneidad de la oferta monetaria”, Revista de Economía Aplicada, vol. 1, no. 3, págs. 119-137.Davidson, P. (1972). Money and the real world. The Economic Journal, 101-115.Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society, 251-276.Granger, C. W. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 424-438.Granger, C. W., & Newbold, P. (1974). Spurious regressions in econometrics. Journal of econometrics, 2(2), 111-120.Johansen, S. (1988). "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors". Journal of economic dynamics and control, 12, 231-254.Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1990). "Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration —with applications to the demand for money". Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 52, 169-210.Keynes, J. M. (1930). Treatise on money: Pure theory of money Vol. I.Keynes, J. M. (1971). A Tract on Monetary Reform, vol. 4, The Collected Writings of John Maynard Keynes.Lavoie, M. (2011). Money, credit and central banks in post-Keynesian economics. A Modern Guide to Keynesian Macroeconomics and Economic Policies, 34-60.Lucas Jr, R. E. (1996). Nobel lecture: Monetary neutrality. Journal of Political Economy, 661-682.Moore, B. J. (1983). Unpacking the post Keynesian black box bank lending and the money supply. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 5(4), 537-556.Olivera Herrera, A., Rodríguez Fuentes, C. J., & Padrón Marrero, D. (2004). La endogeneidad de la oferta monetaria: teoría y evidencia empírica para la economía española. RAE: Revista Asturiana de Economía, (29), 91-110.Osiatynski, J. (1990). Volume I. Capitalism: Business Cycles and Full Employment. Oxford University Press.Palacio-Vera, A. (2001), “The Endogenous Money Hypothesis: Some Evidence from Spain (1987-1998)”, Journal of Post keynesian Economics, vol. 23, no. 3, págs. 509-526.Sawyer, M. (2001). Kalecki on money and finance. European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 8(4), 487-508.Sims, C. A. (1972). Money, income, and causality. The American Economic Review, 62(4), 540-552.Stock, J. H. & Watson, M. W. (2001). "Vector autoregressions". The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 101-115. NO JEL: E41, E47, E51. DS Docta Complutense RD 9 may 2024