RT Journal Article
T1 A Markovian epidemic model in a resource-limited environment
A1 Gómez Corral, Antonio
A1 López Herrero, María Jesús
A1 Taipe Hidalgo, Diana Paulina
AB In this paper, we present a Markov chain model to study infectious disease outbreaks assuming that healthcare facilities, specifically the number of hospital beds for infected individuals, are limited. Therefore, only a restricted number of infected individuals can be admitted to a hospital ward and receive medical care at the same time. Since the pathogen spreads both inside and outside the ward, modeling the dynamics of the epidemic involves SIS- and SI-type models that are inherently linked to each other, in such a way that the potential transmission of the pathogen outside the ward is only possible when the hospital ward is working functionally full. Our goal is to study the influence of the resource-limited environment on performance measures related to hospital operations, such as the time until the ward reaches its maximum capacity, the number of critical events —occurring when the hospital ward reaches its maximum capacity—, the time that limited healthcare facilities should be continuously active, or the economic impact of administering therapeutic treatments, which could be evaluated in terms of the number of admissions and the number of treatments provided in the case of reinfection.
PB Elsevier
YR 2023
FD 2023-08-02
LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/88641
UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/88641
LA eng
NO Gómez-Corral A, Lopez-Herrero MJ, Taipe D. A Markovian epidemic model in a resource-limited environment. Appl. Math. Comp. 2023 Dec 1; 458:128252.
NO Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación
NO Santander-UCM
DS Docta Complutense
RD 20 jun 2025