RT Journal Article
T1 On the exact measure of disease spread in stochastic epidemic models
A1 Artalejo Rodríguez, Jesús Manuel
A1 López Herrero, María Jesús
AB The basic reproduction number, R (0), is probably the most important quantity in epidemiology. It is used to measure the transmission potential during the initial phase of an epidemic. In this paper, we are specifically concerned with the quantification of the spread of a disease modeled by a Markov chain. Due to the occurrence of repeated contacts taking place between a typical infective individual and other individuals already infected before, R (0) overestimates the average number of secondary infections. We present two alternative measures, namely, the exact reproduction number, R (e0), and the population transmission number, R (p) , that overcome this difficulty and provide valuable insight. The applicability of R (e0) and R (p) to control of disease spread is also examined.
PB Springer
SN 0092-8240
YR 2013
FD 2013-07
LK https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/33362
UL https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/33362
LA eng
NO Government of Spain (Department of Science and Innovation)
NO European Commission
DS Docta Complutense
RD 27 abr 2024