2026-06-08T11:04:46Zhttps://docta.ucm.es/rest/oai/requestoai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/426622023-08-11T07:15:47Zcom_20.500.14352_14col_20.500.14352_15
Docta Complutense
author
Bosch, J.
author
Muñoz Reoyo, María Jesús
author
Martínez Avilés, Marta
author
de la Torre, Ana
author
Estrada Peña, Agustín
2023-06-20T00:30:17Z
2023-06-20T00:30:17Z
2012
18651674
10.1111/j.1865-1682.2012.01358.x
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/42662
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1865-1682.2012.01358.x
Tick-borne pathogens can spread easily through the movements of infested birds. An important example is viruses that pose a threat to humans and that are carried in Hyalomma ticks that move from Africa into south-western Europe. This study evaluates the probability of arrival of migrating birds from Africa into Spain and the environmental suitability of different regions of Spain for the survival of tick stages introduced by these birds. This evaluation produced a spatial risk index measuring the probability that foreign tick populations will survive in the target area. Periods of highest risk were observed for large areas of Spain, from the second fortnight of April to the second fortnight of May. Although birds may arrive as early as January and massive migrations may take place in March, the environmental suitability for Hyalomma marginatum ticks is low in these periods and high mortality of the spread stages (nymphs) is expected. This study introduces new methods of objective analysis based on spatial and process-driven models for both ticks and hosts and critically evaluates the usefulness of spatial spreading methods for assessing the risk of tick-borne pathogens.
eng
Vector-Borne Pathogen Spread Through Ticks on Migratory Birds: A Probabilistic Spatial Risk Model for South-Western Europe
journal article
URL
https://docta.ucm.es/bitstreams/0892b058-766e-46ff-9801-81626a73ec2e/download
File
MD5
c84ce21f1453ee5458a9365121c8e963
777398
application/pdf
2013-BOSCH ET AL.pdf