2026-06-27T12:32:05Zhttps://docta.ucm.es/rest/oai/requestoai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/43472025-05-22T14:14:14Zcom_20.500.14352_14col_20.500.14352_17
Docta Complutense
author
Borrell Fontelles, Josep
2023-06-16T14:12:09Z
2023-06-16T14:12:09Z
2022
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/4347
https://www.ucm.es/icei/working-papers
https://www.ucm.es/icei/file/wp0622-1
Sanctions have a bad reputation. Either because they are seen as inevitably circumvented, so affecting populations more than governments,or as rarely altering the conduct of those targeted by them. Does this perception apply to Russia, which is subject to considerable sanctions since the beginning of the war in Ukraine? It is not easy to answer this question. Immediate effects can be effective in the short term but much less in the long term if sanctioned countries adjust to the new situation. The opposite may also be true. Short-term effects may be limited but very significant in the long run. In the case of Russia, long-term effects will be more important by far than short-term effects, because they will redefine the place of Russia in the world. Indeed, if Russia does not change its behaviour, it may survive the sanctions. However, its position within the international system will be deeply affected. It will remain a military power. However, its international status will be inevitably degraded. Cut off from the western world, it will become a Eurasian power with limited bargaining power vis-à-vis China. At the global level, this will be a huge change and probably the most consequential effect of the war in Ukraine.
eng
Atribución-NoComercial 3.0 España
Beyond sanctions: what future for Russia?
technical report
URL
https://docta.ucm.es/bitstreams/688c1c4b-4090-411b-863e-4627a2f3bebf/download
File
MD5
0b31ad00add2adfd16ef9a39cbd6b4c2
993606
application/pdf
WP06-22.pdf
URL
https://docta.ucm.es/bitstreams/aab6716d-d4ee-4b6f-8b7d-cadb4fcf25a6/download
File
MD5
610278d16fca6c34577f87cffa9760b4
40338
text/plain
WP06-22.pdf.txt