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oai:docta.ucm.es:20.500.14352/77972025-09-15T14:10:47Zcom_20.500.14352_14col_20.500.14352_15
Docta Complutense author Rodríguez Sousa, Antonio Alberto author Barandica Fernández, Jesús María author Aguilera, Pedro A. author Rescia Perazzo, Alejandro Javier 2023-06-17T08:58:45Z 2023-06-17T08:58:45Z 2020 2077-0472 10.3390/agriculture10110509 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/7797 https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture10110509 https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/10/11/509 Olive groves form characteristic Mediterranean socio-ecological landscapes, occupying more than 5 M ha; 2.5 M ha in Spain. In recent decades, traditional extensive management of olive groves has shifted to an intensive regime, with some cases of abandonment. These situations triggered negative environmental and economic externalities that led farmers to adopt increasingly multifunctional management models. From a transdisciplinary perspective, the current state of Spanish olive groves was analyzed, assessing their vulnerability to climate change as one of the main threats to their sustainability. Based on our findings and assuming that by 2050, in the Mediterranean, there will be an increase in temperature of 0.8–2.3 ◦C and a decrease in rainfall of up to 200 mm per year, a displacement of the distribution area of olive groves is expected towards zones of lower temperature and higher moisture. The predicted climatic conditions would increase evapotranspiration of vegetation and atmospheric CO2 emissions. Moreover, climate change will reduce the chill accumulation in olive groves, altering its flowering, fructification and crop yields. Thus, it is necessary to adopt management models that promote olive grove resilience in face of climate change, ensuring their socio-ecological sustainability. eng Atribución 3.0 España Examining potential environmental consequences of climate change and other driving forces on the sustainability of spanish olive groves under a socio-ecological approach journal article URL https://docta.ucm.es/bitstreams/3eb4ee6c-7f24-45fa-8f47-abfbc5285858/download File MD5 2edc24a2b0399899d1f922d6ad5d386c 2376473 application/pdf Rodrguez Sousa, Antonio Alberto [et a.]. 2020. Examining Potential Environmental.....pdf