Bujosa Brun, MarcosBujosa Brun, AndrésGarcía Ferrer, Antonio2023-06-192023-06-192013Antoine, J.-P., and A. Grossmann (1976): ``The Partial Inner Product Spaces. I. General properties'', Journal of Fuctional Analysis, 23, 369--378. Becker, S., C. Halsall, W. Tych, R. Kallenborn, Y. Su, and H. Hung (2008): ``Long-term trends in atmospheric concentrations of alpha and gamma HCH in the Arctic provide insight into the effects of legislation and climatic fluctuations on contaminant levels'', Atmospheric Environment, 42(35), 8225--8233. Bell, W. R., and S. C. Hillmer (1984): ``Issues Involved with Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series'', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2, 291--320. Box, G. E. P., S. Hillmer, and G.~C. Tiao (1979): ``Analysis and Modeling of Seasonal Time Series'', in Seasonal Analysis of Economic Time Series, NBER Chapters, pp. 309--346. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Brockwell, P. J., and R. A. Davis (1987): Time Series: Theory and Methods, Springer series in Statistics. Springer-Verlag, New York. Bujosa, M., A. García-Ferrer, and A. de Juan (2013): ``Predicting recessions with factor linear dynamic harmonic regressions'', Journal of Forecasting, 32(6), 481--499. Burman, J. P. (1980): ``Seasonal Adjustment by Signal Extraction'', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, 143(3), 321--337. Chen, C., and G. C. Tiao (1990): ``Random Level-Shift Time Series Models, ARIMA Approximations, and Level-Shift Detection'', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 8(1), 83--97. Dahlhaus, R. (1997): ``Fitting Time Series Models to Nonstationary Processes'', The Annals of Statistics, 25(1), 1--37. Detka, C., and A. El-Jaroudi (1994): ``The transitory evolutionary spectrum,'' in Acoustics, Speech, and Signal Processing, 1994. ICASSP-94., 1994 IEEE International Conference on, vol.~4, pp. IV--289. IEEE. Flandrin, P., M. Amin, S. McLaughlin, and B. Torresani (2013): ``Time-frequency analysis and applications [from the guest editors]'', Signal Processing Magazine, IEEE, 30(6), 19--150. Gardner, W. A., A. Napolitano, and L. Paura (2006): ``Cyclostationarity: Half a century of research'', Signal processing, 86(4), 639--697. Gelfand, I. M., and N. J. Vilenkin (1964): Some Applications of Harmonic Analysis. Rigged Hilbert Spaces, vol. 4 of Generalized Functions. Academic Press, New York. Harvey, A. C., and P. H. J. Todd (1983): ``Forecasting Economic Time Series with Structural and Box-Jenkins Models: A Case Study'', Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1(4), 299--307. Haywood, J., and G. Tunnicliffe Wilson (1997): ``Fitting Time Series Models by Minimizing Multistep-ahead Errors: a Frequency Domain Approach'', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), 59(1), 237--254. Haywood, J., and G. Tunnicliffe Wilson (2000): ``An improved state space representation for cyclical time series.'', Biometrika, 87(3), 724--726. Hillmer, S. C., and G. C. Tiao} (1982): ``An ARIMA-Model-Based Approach to Seasonal Adjustment'', Journal of the American Statistical Association, 77(377), 63--70. Loynes, R. M. (1968): ``On the concept of the spectrum for non-stationary processes'', Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), pp. 1--30. Maravall, A. (1995): ``Unobserved Components in Econometric Time Series'', in The Handbook of Applied Econometrics, ed. by H. H. Pesaran, and M. Wickens, Blackwell Handbooks in Economics, chap.~1, pp. 12--72. Basil Blackwell, Oxford, UK. Maravall, A., and C. Planas (1999): ``Estimation error and the specification of unobserved component models'', Journal of Econometrics, 92, 325--353. Martin, W. (1981): ``Line tracking in nonstationary processes,'' Signal Processing, 3(2), 147--155. MARTIN , W., AND P. F LANDRIN (1985): "Wigner-Ville Spectral Analysis of Nonstationary Processes," Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, IEEE Transactions on, 33(6), 1461¬1470. MATZ , G., AND F. H LAWATSCH (2006): "Nonstationary spectral analysis based on time-frequency operator symbols and underspread approximations," Information Theory, IEEE Transactions on, 52(3), 1067¬1086. MATZ , G., F. H LAWATSCH , AND W. KOZEK (1997): "Generalized evolutionary spectral analysis and the Weyl spectrum of nonstationary random processes," Signal Processing, IEEE Transactions on, 45(6), 1520¬1534. MILLS , T. C. (1982): "Signal Extraction and Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory," The American Economic Review, 72(5), 1162¬1168. PIERCE , D. A. (1979): "Signal Extraction Error in Nonstationary Time Series," The Annals of Statistics, 7(6), 1303¬1320. PRIESTLEY, M. B. (1965): "Evolutionary Spectra and Non-Stationary Processes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Methodological), 27(2), 204¬237. TJØSTHEIM , D. (1976): "Spectral Generating Operators for Non-Stationary Processes," Advances in Applied Probability, 8(4), 831¬846. TYCH , W., D. J. P EDREGAL , P. C. YOUNG , AND J. DAVIES (2002): "An unobserved component model for multi-rate forecasting of telephone call demand: the design of a forecasting support system," International Journal of Forecasting, 18(4), 673¬695. VERCAUTEREN , T., P. AGGARWAL , X. WANG , AND T.-H. L I (2007): "Hierarchical Forecasting of Web Server Workload Using Sequential Monte Carlo Training," Signal Processing, IEEE Transactions on, 55(4), 1286¬1297. VOGT, T., E. H OEHN , P. S CHNEIDER , A. F REUND , M. S CHIRMER , AND O. A. C IRPKA (2010): "Fluctuations of electrical conductivity as a natural tracer for bank filtration in a losing stream," Advances in Water Resources, 33(11), 1296¬1308. YOUNG , P. C., D. P EDREGAL , AND W. T YCH (1999): "Dynamic Harmonic Regression," Journal of Forecasting, 18, 369¬394.https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/41468This working paper has been accepted for publication in a future issue of IEEE Transactions on Signal Processing. Content may change prior to final publication. Citation information: DOI:10.1109/TSP.2015.2469640. 1053-587X copy right 2015 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to use this material for any other purposes must be obtained from the IEEE by sending a request to pubs-permissions@ieee.org See http://www.ieee.org/publications_standards/publications/rights/index.html for more information.Although spectral analysis of stationary stochastic processes has solid mathematical foundations, this is not always so for some non-stationary cases. Here, we establish a rigorous mathematical extension of the classic Fourier spectrum to the case in which there are AR roots in the unit circle, ie, the transfer function of the linear time-invariant filter has poles on the unit circle. To achieve it we: embed the classical problem in a wider framework, the Rigged Hilbert space, extend the Discrete Time Fourier Transform and defined a new Extended Fourier Transform pair pseudo-covariance function/pseudo-spectrum. Our approach is a proper extension of the classical spectral analysis, within which the Fourier Transform pair auto-covariance function/spectrum is a particular case. Consequently spectrum and pseudo-spectrum coincide when the first one is defined.engMathematical framework for pseudo-spectra of linear stochastic difference equationstechnical reporthttps://www.ucm.es/icaeopen accessC00C22Spectral analysistime seriesnon-stationarityfrequency domainpseudo-covariance functionlinear stochastic difference equationsRigged Hilbert spacepartial inner productExtended Fourier Transform.Econometría (Economía)5302 Econometría