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Keynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction

dc.contributor.authorPalacio Vera, Alfonso
dc.contributor.authorAyala García, Iván
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-18T10:25:34Z
dc.date.available2023-06-18T10:25:34Z
dc.date.issued2015-11
dc.description.abstractWe review Keynes´s attempt to deal with the `problem of induction´ since his Treatise on Probability and then argue that Popper´s `solution´ to the former, known as Popper´s evolutionary of knowledge and learning, is compatible with Keynes´s adoption of a conventional theory of knowledge in his later economic writings. We also argue that Keynes´s macro-theory as it appears in both his General Theory and his 1937 QJE paper can be (re)interpreted as an instance of a reformulated version of the `subjectivist´ version of Popper´s `Rationality Principle´ (RPs) according to which agents´ behaviour is appropriate or adequate to the problem-situation as the theorist believes that agents believe the former is. A number of further results follow from the previous arguments.
dc.description.abstractRepasamos el intento de Keynes de abordar el "problema de la inducción" en su Treatise on Probability y señalamos que la solución propuesta por Popper al mismo, conocido como la teoría popperiana del conocimiento y el aprendizaje es compatible con la adopción por parte de Keynes de una teoría convencionalista del conocimiento en su última etapa. También señalamos que la Teoría General y su artículo del año 1937 en el QJE pueden ser interpretados como un caso concreto de la versión `subjetivista´ del "Principio de Racionalidad" Popperiano, de acuerdo con el cual el comportamiento de los agentes económicos es adecuado al problema-situación tal y como el modelizador cree que los agentes perciben este último. De esta interpretación obtenemos una serie de resultados adicionales.
dc.description.departmentDecanato
dc.description.facultyFac. de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
dc.description.refereedTRUE
dc.description.statusunpub
dc.eprint.idhttps://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/34610
dc.identifier.issn2255-5471
dc.identifier.relatedurlhttps://economicasyempresariales.ucm.es/working-papers-ccee
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/27536
dc.issue.number07
dc.language.isoeng
dc.page.total71
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDocumentos de Trabajo de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
dc.rightsAtribución-NoComercial 3.0 España
dc.rights.accessRightsopen access
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/es/
dc.subject.jelA12
dc.subject.jelB41
dc.subject.jelE03
dc.subject.jelE12
dc.subject.keywordPopper
dc.subject.keywordKeynes
dc.subject.keywordRationality Principle
dc.subject.keywordMacro-models
dc.subject.keywordInduction.
dc.subject.keywordPrincipio de racionalidad
dc.subject.keywordModelos macroeconómicos e inducción.
dc.subject.ucmMacroeconomía
dc.subject.ucmTeorías económicas
dc.subject.unesco5307.14 Teoría Macroeconómica
dc.subject.unesco5307 Teoría Económica
dc.titleKeynes´s Approach to Macroeconomic Modelling: a Popperian Reconstruction
dc.title.alternativeLa modelización macroeconómica en el enfoque keynesiano: una reconstrucción popperiana
dc.typetechnical report
dc.volume.number2015
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