Publication:
El Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast

dc.contributor.authorLópez Pareges, Jorge
dc.contributor.authorAuger, Pierre Amaël
dc.contributor.authorRodríguez Fonseca, María Belén
dc.contributor.authorKeenlyside, Noel
dc.contributor.authorGaetan, Carlo
dc.contributor.authorRubino, Angelo
dc.contributor.authorArisido, Maeregu W.
dc.contributor.authorBrochier, Timothée
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-16T15:23:01Z
dc.date.available2023-06-16T15:23:01Z
dc.date.issued2020-07
dc.description© 2020 Published by Elsevier Ltd. The authors thank Davide Zanchettin and Patrice Brehmer for their useful comments and support during the development of this study. This work was funded by the European PREFACE project (No. 603521, Enhancing prediction of tropical Atlantic climate and its impacts http://preface.b.uib.no) and by the European TRIATLAS project (No. 817578, South and tropical Atlantic climate-based marine ecosystem prediction for sustainable management). Additional support during the writing phase (for P.A. Auger) was provided by the Instituto Milenio de Oceanografía (IMO-Chile), funded by the Iniciativa Científica Milenio (ICM-Chile).
dc.description.abstractThe El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) produces global marine environment conditions that can cause changes in abundance and distribution of distant fish populations worldwide. Understanding mechanisms acting locally on fish population dynamics is crucial to develop forecast skill useful for fisheries management. The present work addresses the role played by ENSO on the round sardinella population biomass and distribution in the central-southern portion of the Canary Current Upwelling System (CCUS). A combined physical-biogeochemical framework is used to understand the climate influence on the hydrodynamical conditions in the study area. Then, an evolutionary individual-based model is used to simulate the round sardinella spatio-temporal biomass variability. According to model experiments, anomalous oceanographic conditions forced by El Niño along the African coast cause anomalies in the latitudinal migration pattern of the species. A robust anomalous increase and decrease of the simulated round sardinella biomass is identified in winter off the Cape Blanc and the Saharan coast region, respectively, in response to El Niño variations. The resultant anomalous pattern is an alteration of the normal migration between the Saharan and the Mauritanian waters. It is primarily explained by the modulating role that El Niño exerts on the currents off Cape Blanc, modifying therefore the normal migration of round sardinella in the search of acceptable temperature conditions. This climate signature can be potentially predicted up to six months in advance based on El Niño conditions in the Pacific.
dc.description.departmentDepto. de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica
dc.description.facultyFac. de Ciencias Físicas
dc.description.refereedTRUE
dc.description.sponsorshipUnión Europea. Horizonte 2020
dc.description.sponsorshipUnión Europea. FP7
dc.description.sponsorshipInstituto Milenio de Oceanografía (IMO-Chile)
dc.description.sponsorshipthe Iniciativa Científica Milenio (ICM-Chile)
dc.description.statuspub
dc.eprint.idhttps://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/62142
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102341
dc.identifier.issn0079-6611
dc.identifier.officialurlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102341
dc.identifier.relatedurlhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/6539
dc.journal.titleProgress in oceanography
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherPergamon-Elsevier Science Ltd
dc.relation.projectIDTRIATLAS (817578)
dc.relation.projectIDPREFACE (603521)
dc.rights.accessRightsopen access
dc.subject.cdu52
dc.subject.keywordClimate-change
dc.subject.keywordEnso Teleconnection
dc.subject.keywordEastern boundary
dc.subject.keywordVariability
dc.subject.keywordTemperature
dc.subject.keywordSurface
dc.subject.keywordAurita
dc.subject.keywordIndex
dc.subject.keywordOcean
dc.subject.keywordIntensification
dc.subject.ucmFísica atmosférica
dc.subject.unesco2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera
dc.titleEl Niño as a predictor of round sardinella distribution along the northwest African coast
dc.typejournal article
dc.volume.number186
dspace.entity.typePublication
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