Modeling classical swine fever spread using a spatial hybrid
model
| dc.book.title | XXI Congreso de Ecuaciones Diferenciales y Aplicaciones (CEDYA).Ciudad Real, 21-25 septiembre 2009 | |
| dc.conference.date | 21-25 septiembre 2009 | |
| dc.conference.place | Ciudad Real | |
| dc.conference.title | XXI Congreso de Ecuaciones Diferenciales y Aplicaciones XI Congreso de Matematica Aplicada | |
| dc.contributor.author | Ivorra, Benjamín Pierre Paul | |
| dc.contributor.author | Martínez López, Beatriz | |
| dc.contributor.author | Ramos Del Olmo, Ángel Manuel | |
| dc.contributor.author | Sánchez-Vizcaíno Rodríguez, José Manuel | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-06-20T13:41:44Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-06-20T13:41:44Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2009 | |
| dc.description | XI Congreso de Matemática Aplicada | |
| dc.description.abstract | Classical swine fever (CSF) is a highly contagious viral disease of pigs and wild boars that causes severe commercial restrictions to the affected countries. The knowledge of spread patterns and risk factors that are involved in the transmission of CSF would help to implement specific measures and to reduce the disease spread in future outbreaks. In this article, we introduce a new spatial hybrid model developed for the spread of CSF. It is based on the combination of a stochastic individual Based model with a Susceptible-Infected model. The coefficients and parameters of the models are estimated using real data. | |
| dc.description.department | Depto. de Análisis Matemático y Matemática Aplicada | |
| dc.description.faculty | Fac. de Ciencias Matemáticas | |
| dc.description.refereed | TRUE | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación (España) | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Banco de Santander | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Universidad Complutense | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Plan Nacional de I+D+i 2008-2011 | |
| dc.description.status | pub | |
| dc.eprint.id | https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/29264 | |
| dc.identifier.isbn | 978-84-692-6473-7 | |
| dc.identifier.officialurl | http://matematicas.uclm.es/cedya09/archive/textos/55_Ivorra-B.pdf | |
| dc.identifier.relatedurl | http://matematicas.uclm.es/cedya09/ | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/53415 | |
| dc.language.iso | eng | |
| dc.page.final | 8 | |
| dc.page.initial | 1 | |
| dc.publication.place | Ciudad Real | |
| dc.publisher | Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad de Castilla La Mancha | |
| dc.relation.projectID | MTM2008-04621/MTM | |
| dc.relation.projectID | Project of Research Groups (Ref. 910480). | |
| dc.rights.accessRights | open access | |
| dc.subject.cdu | 519.87:636.4 | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Modeling | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Epidemiology | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Stochastic model | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Risk management | |
| dc.subject.ucm | Investigación operativa (Matemáticas) | |
| dc.subject.ucm | Ganado porcino | |
| dc.subject.unesco | 1207 Investigación Operativa | |
| dc.subject.unesco | 3104.08 Porcinos | |
| dc.title | Modeling classical swine fever spread using a spatial hybrid model | |
| dc.type | book part | |
| dcterms.references | [1] Anderson, R.M., May, R.M. (1979) Population biology of infectious diseases: Part I. Nature. 280: 361-367. [2] Crauwels, A.P.P., Nielen, M., Elbers, A.R.W., Stegeman, J.A., Tielen, M.J.M. (2003). Neighbourhood infections of CSF during the 1997-1998 epidemic in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med.. 61: 263-277. [3] Elbers, A.T.W., Stegeman, A., Moser, H., Ekker, H.M., Smak, J.A., Pluimers, H. (1999) The CSF epidemic 1997-1998 in the Netherlands: descriptive epidemiology. Prev. Vet. Med.. 4: 157-184. [4] Jalvingh, A.W., Nielen, M., Maurice, H., Stegeman, A.J., Elbers A.R.W., Dijkhuizen, A.A. (1999) Spatial and stochastic simulation to evaluate the impact of events and control measures on the 1997-1998 CSF epidemic in The Netherlands. Prev. Vet. Med.. 42: 271-295. [5] Kartsen, S., Rave, G., Krieter, J. (2005) Monte Carlo simulation of classical swine fever epidemics and control I. General concepts and description of the model. Veterinary Microbiology. 108: 187-198. [6] Kartsen, S., Rave, G., Krieter, J. (2005) Monte Carlo simulation of classical swine fever epidemics and control II. Validation of the model. Veterinary Microbiology. 108: 199-205. [7] Klinkenberg, D., De Bree, J., Laevens, H., De Jong, M.C.M. (2002) Whithin- and Betweem-pen transmission of CSF Virus: a new method to estimate the basic reproduction ration from transmission experiments. part I. Epidemiol. Infect. 128: 293-299. [8] Martínez-López, B., Ivorra, B., Ramos, A. M., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, J.M. (2008) Modelling the spread of classical swine fever into Spain using a spatial and stochastic model. Proceedings of the 20th International Pig Veterinary Society Congress, p. 87. [9] Martínez-López, B., Pérez, A.M., Sánchez-Vizcaíno, J.M. (2009) A stochastic model to quantify the risk for classical swine fever virus introduction through import of domestic and wild boars into Spain. Epidemiology and Infection, accepted, DOI: 10.1017/S0950268808001623. [10] MAPA (Ministerio de Agricultura, Pesca y Alimentación) (2006) Manual práctico de actuaciones contra la peste porcina clásica. Available at: http://rasve.mapa.es/Publica/InformacionGeneral/ Documentos/Manuales/Manual %20PPC %202006.pdf [11] OIE (2008) Handistatus II. Available at: http://www.oie.int/hs2/report.asp?lang=es [12] OIE (2008) World Animal Health Information Database. Available at: http://www.oie.int/wahid-prod/public.php? page=home | |
| dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
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| relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | b078d9ce-ccce-49e2-a4e9-0ce85eca877e |
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