On the quality of climate proxies derived from newspaper reports - a case study
dc.contributor.author | Gallego, D. | |
dc.contributor.author | García Herrera, Ricardo Francisco | |
dc.contributor.author | Prieto, R. | |
dc.contributor.author | Peña Ortiz, C. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-06-20T11:03:56Z | |
dc.date.available | 2023-06-20T11:03:56Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2008 | |
dc.description | © Author(s) 2008. © Copernicus Gesellschaft MBH 2008. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License. | |
dc.description.abstract | One of the main problems in climate reconstruction from documentary sources is the evaluation of the quality of non instrumental meteorological records in absence of instrumental observations to perform a calibration. In these cases it is mandatory to envision different approaches to assess the climatic signal in a reconstruction. This work is aimed to test the consistency of a snow frequency reconstruction in the central Argentinean Andes by studying the synoptic patterns related to the occurrence of precipitation in this area. While the original reconstruction covers the period between 1885 and 1996, the insufficiency of overlapping instrumental data limited the calibration to a short 15-year interval. In this paper we evaluate the performance of the reconstructed series for the entire 45-year period between 1958 and 1996 by analyzing the displacement in the jet stream and the patterns of geopotential height related to anomalies in the reconstructed snow frequency series. Previous works have linked the precipitation in the central Andes to the ENSO through the Pacific South American mode. We also have found this connection between ENSO and the reconstructed precipitation. Finally, it is shown that the ENSO relationship is the cause of a significant link between the precipitation anomalies in the central Argentinean Andes and the ice extent around the Antarctic Peninsula. | |
dc.description.department | Depto. de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica | |
dc.description.faculty | Fac. de Ciencias Físicas | |
dc.description.refereed | TRUE | |
dc.description.status | pub | |
dc.eprint.id | https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/34652 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Abbott, M. B., Wolfe, B. B., Wolfe, A. P., Seltzer, G. O., Aravena, R., Mark, B. G., Polissar, P. J., Rodbell, D. T., Rowe, H. D., and Vuille, M.: Holocene paleohydrology and glacial history of the central Andes using multiproxy lake sediment studies, Palaeogeogr. Palaeocl., 194, 123–138, 2003. Aceituno, P.: On the functioning of the Southern Oscillation in the South American sector. Part I: Surface climate, Mon. Weather Rev., 116, 505–524, 1988. Bals-Elsholz, T. M., Atallah, E. H., Bosart, L. F., Wasula, T. A., Cempa, M. J., and Lupo, A. R.: The wintertime Southern Hemisphere split jet: Structure, variability, and evolution, J. Climate, 14, 4191–4215, 2001. Boninsegna, J. A.: Santiago de Chile winter rainfall since 1220 as being reconstructed by tree rings, Quaternary of South America and Antarctic Peninsula, 6, 67–87, 1988. Bradley, R. S. and Jones, P.D. (eds): Climate Since A. D. 1500, Routledge, London, 679 pp., 1992. Bradley, R. S., Vuille, M., Hardy, D., and Thompson, L. G.: Low latitude ice cores record Pacific sea surface temperatures, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1174, doi:10.1029/2002GL016546, 2003. Brazdil, R., Pfister, C., Wanner, H., von Storch, H., and Luterbacher, J.: Historical climatology in Europe – The state of the art, Climatic Change, 70, 363–430, 2005. Campetella, C. M. and Possia, N. E.: Upper-level cut-off lows in southern South America, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 96, 181–191, 2007. Carleton, A. W.: Atmospheric teleconnections involving the Southern Ocean, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8080, doi:10.1029/2000JC000379, 2003. Chen, B., Smith, S. R., and Bromwich, D. H.: Evolution of the tropospheric split jet over the South Pacific Ocean during the 1986–1989 ENSO cycle, Mon. Weather Rev., 124, 1711–1731, 1996. Chenoweth, M.: A reassessment of historical Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity, 1700–1855, Climatic Change, 76, 169–240, 2006. Falvey, M. and Garreaud, R.: Wintertime Precipitation Episodes in Central Chile: Associated Meteorological Conditions and Orographic Influences, J. Hydrometeorol., 8, 171–193, 2007. Gallego, D., Ribera, P., García, R., Gimeno, L., and Hernández, E.: A new look for the Southern Hemisphere jet stream, Clim. Dynam., 24, 607–621, 2005. Gallego, D., García Herrera, R., Calvo, N., and Ribera, P.: A new meteorological record for Cadiz (Spain) 1806–1852: Implications for climatic reconstructions, Geophys. Res. Lett.,112, D12108, doi:10.1029/2007JD008517, 2007. García Herrera, R., García, R. R., Hernández, E., Prieto, M. R., Gimeno, L., and Díaz, H. F.: Using Spanish archives to reconstruct climate variability, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 1025–1035, 2003. García Herrera, R., Gimeno, L., Ribera, P., and Hernández, E.: New records of Atlantic hurricanes from Spanish documentary sources, J. Geophys. Res.–Atmos., 110, D03109, doi: 10.1029/2004JD005272, 2005. Garreaud, R. D. and Aceituno, P.: Interannual rainfall variability over the South American Altiplano, J. Climate, 14, 2779–2789, 2001. Harangozo, S. A.: A search for ENSO teleconnections in the west Antarctic Peninsula climate in austral winter, Int. J. Climatol., 20, 663–679, 2000. Haylock, M. R., Peterson, T. C., Alves, L. M., et al.: Trends in total and extreme South American rainfall in 1960–2000 and links with sea surface temperature, J. Climate, 19, 1490–1512, 2006. Jacobs, S. S. and Comiso, J. C.: Climate variability in the Amundsen and Bellingshausen seas, J. Climate,10, 697–709, 1997. Kalnay, E., Kanamitsu, M., Kistler, R., et al.: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year Reanalysis Project, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 77, 437–471, 1996. Liu, J., Yuan, X., Rind, D., and Martinston, D. G.: Mechanism study of the ENSO and southern high latitude climate teleconnections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1679, doi:10.1029/2002GL015143, 2002. Liu, J., Curry, J. A., and Martinson, D. G.: Interpretation of recent Antarctic sea ice variability,Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L02205, doi:10.1029/2003GL018731, 2004. Marwan, N., Trauth, M. H., Vuille, M., and Kurths, J.: Comparing modern and Pleistocene ENSO-like influences in NW Argentina using nonlinear time series analysis methods, Clim. Dynam.,21, 317–326, 2003. Masiokas, M. H., Villalba, R., Luckman, B. H., Quesne, C., and Aravena, J, C.: Snowpack variations in the central Andes of Argentina and Chile, 1951–2005: Large-scale atmospheric influences and implications for water resources in the region, J. Climate, 19, 6334–6352, 2006. Mo, K. C.: Relationships between low-frequency variability in the Southern Hemisphere and sea surface temperature anomalies, J. Climate, 13, 3599–3610, 2000. Mo, K. C. and Ghil, M. : Statistics and dynamics of persistent anomalies, J. Atmos. Sci., 44, 877–901, 1987. Montecinos, A., Díaz, A., and Aceituno, P.: Seasonal diagnostic and predictability of rainfall in subtropical South America based on tropical Pacific SST, J. Climate, 13, 746–758, 2000. Orlanski, I., Katzfey, J., Menendez, C., and Marino, M.: Simulation of an extratropical cyclone in the Southern Hemisphere: Model sensitivity, J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 2293–2311, 1991. Quinn, H., Neal, V. T., and Antunez de Mayolo, S. E.: El Niño occurrences over the past four and a half centuries, J. Geophys. Res., 92, 14 449–14 461, 1987. Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., and Dussel, P.: Historical Evidences of the Mendoza River Streamflow Fluctuations and their Relationship with ENSO, Holocene, 9, 473–481, 1990. Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., and Dussel, P.: Archival evidence for some aspects of historical climate variability in Argentina and Bolivia during the 17th and 18th centuries, Southern Hemisphere Paleo- and Neoclimates, edited by Volkheimer, W. and Smolka, P., Springer–Verlag, Berlin-Heidelberg, 381 pp., 2000. Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., Castrillejo, T., and Dussel, P.: Variaciones climáticas recientes y disponibilidad hídrica en los Andes Centrales Argentino-chilenos (1885–1996), El uso de datos periodísticos para la reconstitución del clima, Meteorológica, 25, 27–43, 2001a. Prieto, M. R., Herrera, R., Dussel, P., Gimeno, L., Ribera, P., Garcia Herrera, R., and Hernández, E.: Interannual oscillations and trend of show occurrence in the Andes region since 1885, Aust. Meteorol. Mag., 50, 164–168, 2001b. Prieto, M. R.: ENSO Signals in South America: Rains and Floods in the Parana River during Colonial Times, Climatic Change, 83, 39–54, 2007. Raphael, M. N.: The influence of atmospheric zonal wave three on Antarctic sea ice variability, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12112, doi:10.1029/2006JD007852, 2007. Rayner, N. A., Parker,D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., and Kaplan, A.: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670, 2003. Renwick, J. A.: ENSO-Related variability in the frequency of South Pacific Blocking, J. Climate, 126, 3117–3123, 1998. Renwick, J. A.: Southern Hemisphere circulation and relations with sea ice and sea surface temperature, J. Climate, 15, 3058–3068, 2002. Ribera, P. and Mann, M. : ENSO related variability in the Southern Hemisphere, 1948-2000, Geophys. Res. Lett., 30, 1006, doi:10.1029/2002GL015818, 2003. Roig, F., Quesne, C., Bonisegna, J. J., Briffa, K., Lara, A., Grudd, N., Jones, P., and Villagran, C.: Climate variability 50 000 years ago in mid-latitude Chile as reconstructed from tree rings, Nature, 410, 567–570, 2000. Ropelewski, C. F. and Jones, P.D.: An extension of the TahitiDarwin Southern Oscillation Index, Mon. Weather Rev., 115, 2161–2165, 1987. Rutllant, J. and Fuenzalida, H.: Synoptic aspects of the central Chile rainfall variability associated with the Southern Oscillation, Int. J. Climatol., 11, 63–76, 1991. Simmonds, I. and King, J. C.: Global and hemispheric climate variations affecting the Southern Ocean, Antarct. Sci., 16, 401–413, 2004. Vargas, W. and Compagnucci, R.: Relaciones del régimen de precipitación entre Santiago de Chile y las series de la región Cordillerana, Geoacta, 13, 81–93, 1985. Venegas, S. A., Drinkwater, M. R., and Shaffer, G.: Coupled oscillations in Antarctic sea ice and atmosphere in the South Pacific sector, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 3301–3304, 2001. Vera, C.: Interannual and interdecadal variability of atmospheric synoptic-scale activity in the Southern Hemisphere, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8077, doi:10.1029/2000JC000406, 2003. Villalba, R.: Medieval warm epoch and the little Ice Age in Southern South America, Climatic Change, 26, 183–197, 1994. Villalba, R., Lara, A., Boninsegna, J. A., Masiokas, M., Delgado, S., Aravena, J. C., Roig, F. A., Schmelter, A., Wolodarsky, A., and Ripalta, A.: Large-scale temperature changes across the Southern Andes: 20th century variations in the context of the past 400 years, Climatic Change, 59,177–232, 2003. Vuille, M. and Ammann, C.: Regional snowfall patterns in the high, arid Andes, Climatic Change, 36, 413–423, 1997. White, W. B. and Peterson, R. G.: An Antarctic circumpolar wave in surface pressure, wind, temperature and sea ice extent, Nature, 380, 699–702, 1996. Yuan, X.: ENSO-related impacts on Antarctic sea ice: a synthesis of phenomenon and mechanisms, Antarct. Sci., 16, 415–425, 2004. | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.5194/cp-4-11-2008 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1814-9324 | |
dc.identifier.officialurl | http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-4-11-2008 | |
dc.identifier.relatedurl | http://www.clim-past.net | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/51666 | |
dc.issue.number | 1 | |
dc.journal.title | Climate of the past | |
dc.language.iso | eng | |
dc.page.final | 18 | |
dc.page.initial | 11 | |
dc.publisher | Copernicus Gesellschaft MBH | |
dc.rights | Atribución 3.0 España | |
dc.rights.accessRights | open access | |
dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ | |
dc.subject.cdu | 52 | |
dc.subject.keyword | Sea-surface temperature | |
dc.subject.keyword | Enso-related variability | |
dc.subject.keyword | Southern South-America | |
dc.subject.keyword | Rainfall variability | |
dc.subject.keyword | Central Chile | |
dc.subject.keyword | Central Andes | |
dc.subject.keyword | Split jet | |
dc.subject.keyword | Hemisphere | |
dc.subject.keyword | Ice | |
dc.subject.keyword | Teleconnections | |
dc.subject.ucm | Astrofísica | |
dc.subject.ucm | Astronomía (Física) | |
dc.title | On the quality of climate proxies derived from newspaper reports - a case study | |
dc.type | journal article | |
dc.volume.number | 4 | |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication | 194b877d-c391-483e-9b29-31a99dff0a29 | |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | 194b877d-c391-483e-9b29-31a99dff0a29 |
Download
Original bundle
1 - 1 of 1