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Market Timing with Moving Averages for Fossil Fuel and Renewable Energy Stocks

dc.contributor.authorChang, Chia-Lin
dc.contributor.authorIlomäki, Jukka
dc.contributor.authorLaurila, Hannu
dc.contributor.authorMcAleer, Michael
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-17T17:53:48Z
dc.date.available2023-06-17T17:53:48Z
dc.date.issued2018-09
dc.descriptionFor financial support, the first author wishes to acknowledge the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan, and the fourth author is grateful to the Australian Research Council and Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan.
dc.description.abstractThe paper examines whether the moving average (MA) technique can beat random market timing in traditional and newer branches of an industrial sector. The sector considered is the energy sector, divided into balanced stock portfolios of fossil and renewable energy companies. Eight representative firms are selected for both portfolios. The paper finds that MA timing outperforms random timing with the portfolio of renewable energy companies, whereas the result is less clear with the portfolio of fossil energy companies. Thus, there seems to be more forecastable stochastic trends in sunrise branches than in sunset branches.
dc.description.facultyFac. de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
dc.description.facultyInstituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE)
dc.description.refereedTRUE
dc.description.sponsorshipthe Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST), Taiwan
dc.description.sponsorshipthe Australian Research Council
dc.description.statusunpub
dc.eprint.idhttps://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/49153
dc.identifier.issn2341-2356
dc.identifier.officialurlhttps://www.ucm.es/icae/working-papers
dc.identifier.relatedurlhttps://www.ucm.es/icae
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/17441
dc.issue.number24
dc.language.isoeng
dc.page.total35
dc.relation.ispartofseriesDocumentos de Trabajo del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE)
dc.rights.accessRightsopen access
dc.subject.jelC22
dc.subject.jelC32
dc.subject.jelL71
dc.subject.jelL72
dc.subject.jelQ16
dc.subject.jelQ42
dc.subject.jelQ47
dc.subject.keywordMoving averages
dc.subject.keywordMarket timing
dc.subject.keywordIndustrial sector
dc.subject.keywordEnergy sector
dc.subject.keywordFossil fuels
dc.subject.keywordRenewable energy
dc.subject.keywordRandom timing
dc.subject.keywordSunrise branches
dc.subject.keywordSunset branches.
dc.subject.ucmEconometría (Economía)
dc.subject.unesco5302 Econometría
dc.titleMarket Timing with Moving Averages for Fossil Fuel and Renewable Energy Stocks
dc.typetechnical report
dc.volume.number2018
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