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Reconciling modeled and observed temperature trends over Antarctica

dc.contributor.authorCalvo Fernández, Natalia
dc.contributor.authorGarcía, R. R.
dc.contributor.authorMarsh, D. R.
dc.contributor.authorMills, M. J.
dc.contributor.authorKinnison, D. E.
dc.contributor.authorYoung, P. J.
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-20T03:39:23Z
dc.date.available2023-06-20T03:39:23Z
dc.date.issued2012-08-28
dc.description© 2012. American Geophysical Union. N. Calvo was partially supported by the Advanced Study Program from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (ASP-NCAR) and by the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation through the CGL2008-05968-C02-01 project. NCAR is sponsored by the U.S. National Science Foundation.
dc.description.abstractOver the last three decades, ozone depletion over Antarctica has affected temperature and winds in the lower stratosphere, and even in the troposphere and at the surface. The second Chemistry Climate Model Validation activity (CCMVal2) concluded that chemistry-climate models simulate stratospheric cooling that is too large compared to observations, even though the modeled and observed ozone trends are similar. However, these comparisons were based only on radiosonde data available for 1969-1998. Here, we investigate trends in the Southern Hemisphere polar cap in the latest version of the Community Earth System Model (CESM1) with its high-top atmospheric component, WACCM4, fully coupled to an ocean model. We compare model trends with observations for different periods and with other modeling studies to show much better agreement with more recent data, and conclude that the discrepancy between observed trends and those calculated by high-top models may not be as large as previously reported.
dc.description.departmentDepto. de Física de la Tierra y Astrofísica
dc.description.facultyFac. de Ciencias Físicas
dc.description.refereedTRUE
dc.description.sponsorshipAdvanced Study Program from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (ASP-NCAR)
dc.description.sponsorshipSpanish Ministry of Science and Innovation
dc.description.sponsorshipU.S. National Science Foundation
dc.description.statuspub
dc.eprint.idhttps://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/25393
dc.identifier.doi10.1029/2012GL052526
dc.identifier.issn0094-8276
dc.identifier.officialurlhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2012GL052526
dc.identifier.relatedurlhttp://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/44175
dc.journal.titleGeophysical research letters
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherAmerican Geophysical Union
dc.relation.projectIDCGL2008-05968-C02-01
dc.rights.accessRightsopen access
dc.subject.cdu52
dc.subject.keywordHemisphere Climate-Change
dc.subject.keywordCirculation
dc.subject.ucmAstrofísica
dc.subject.ucmAstronomía (Física)
dc.subject.ucmFísica atmosférica
dc.subject.unesco2501 Ciencias de la Atmósfera
dc.titleReconciling modeled and observed temperature trends over Antarctica
dc.typejournal article
dc.volume.number39
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