Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide
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2025
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National Academy of Sciences
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Zeng X-M, Berdugo M, Saez-Sandino T, Tao D, Ren T, Zhou G, Liu Y-R, Terrer C, Reich PB, Delgado-Baquerizo M. Temperature thresholds induce abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in montane ecosystems worldwide. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2025;122:e2413981122. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2413981122.
Abstract
Studying the extent to which local temperature differences induce gradual versus abrupt shifts in montane biodiversity and ecosystem services across global environments is crucial for understanding their responses to global warming. Through a global synthesis of 290 elevation gradients, we found evidence for pervasive abrupt shifts in biodiversity and ecosystem services in response to local temperature variations along elevation gradients. We identified critical temperature thresholds that can trigger abrupt responses of montane biodiversity and ecosystem services to local temperature variations. Our work underscores the urgency of integrating local climatic variability into conservation strategies to safeguard these ecologically vital areas, particularly in regions likely to surpass the identified temperature thresholds in the future.
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Acknowledgments:
M.D.-B. acknowledges the support from TED2021-130908B-C41/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/Unión Europea NextGenerationEU/Plan de Recuperación, Transformación y Resiliencia and from the Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation for the I + D + i project PID2020-115813RA-I00 funded by MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033. Y.-R.L. acknowledges the support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42425701). X.-M.Z. acknowledges the support from the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program (Grade B) of China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (GZB20230822), the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2023M743736), and the Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (JCZRQN202400547). M.B. acknowledges the support from a Ramón y Cajal Grant from Spanish Ministry of Sciences (RYC2021-031797-I). P.B.R. acknowledges the support from the National Science Foundation Biological Integration Institutes Grant NSF-DBI-2021898. T.S.-S. is supported by the Australian Research Council (DP230101448).













