Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall
in Taiwan
| dc.contributor.author | Chu, Lan-Fen | |
| dc.contributor.author | McAleer, Michael | |
| dc.contributor.author | Wang, Szu-Hua | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2023-06-20T09:15:07Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2023-06-20T09:15:07Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2012-12 | |
| dc.description | JEL: Q54, Q51, Q57. | |
| dc.description.abstract | This paper has two primary purposes. First, we fit the annual maximum daily rainfall data for 6 rainfall stations, both with stationary and non-stationary generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions for the periods 1911-2010 and 1960-2010 in Taiwan, and detect the changes between the two phases for extreme rainfall. The non-stationary model means that the location parameter in the GEV distribution is a linear function of time to detect temporal trends in maximum rainfall. Second, we compute the future behavior of stationary models for the return levels of 10, 20, 50 and 100-years based on the period 1960-2010. In addition, the 95% confidence intervals of the return levels are provided. This is the first investigation to use generalized extreme value distributions to model extreme rainfall in Taiwan. | |
| dc.description.faculty | Fac. de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales | |
| dc.description.faculty | Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE) | |
| dc.description.refereed | FALSE | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Taiwan Climate Change Projection and Information Platform Project | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Australian Research Council | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | National Science Council, Taiwan | |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science | |
| dc.description.status | unpub | |
| dc.eprint.id | https://eprints.ucm.es/id/eprint/17573 | |
| dc.identifier.relatedurl | https://www.ucm.es/icae | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14352/49129 | |
| dc.issue.number | 29 | |
| dc.language.iso | eng | |
| dc.page.total | 12 | |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | Documentos de Trabajo del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico (ICAE) | |
| dc.relation.projectID | NSC 100-2621-M-492-001 | |
| dc.rights | Atribución-NoComercial 3.0 España | |
| dc.rights.accessRights | open access | |
| dc.rights.uri | https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/es/ | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Generalized extreme value | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Extreme rainfall | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Return level | |
| dc.subject.keyword | Statistical modelling. | |
| dc.subject.ucm | Econometría (Economía) | |
| dc.subject.unesco | 5302 Econometría | |
| dc.title | Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan | |
| dc.type | technical report | |
| dc.volume.number | 2012 | |
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| dspace.entity.type | Publication |
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